Projected Standings
Projected 2026 records. 2026 has not kicked off yet, so ratings come from 2026 net EPA per play, converted to a per-game point margin and run through the real schedule. Home field is worth two points. These are expected wins, not simulated ones. A 9.4 means the schedule is worth about nine and a half wins to that roster.
| # | Team | Proj W | Proj L | Rating | Off EPA | Def EPA | RZ TD% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jaguars | 10.3 | 6.7 | +4.7 | 0.338 | -0.184 | 100.0% | |
| 2 |  Ravens | 10.3 | 6.7 | +5.1 | 0.322 | -0.241 | 75.0% | |
| 3 |  Chiefs | 10.1 | 6.9 | +4.6 | 0.164 | -0.344 | 60.0% | |
| 4 |  49ers | 9.8 | 7.2 | +4.0 | 0.179 | -0.265 | 66.7% | |
| 5 |  Cardinals | 9.5 | 7.5 | +3.5 | 0.144 | -0.244 | 40.0% | |
| 6 |  Jets | 9.4 | 7.6 | +2.6 | 0.168 | -0.119 | 66.7% | |
| 7 |  Raiders | 9.2 | 7.8 | +1.8 | -0.039 | -0.236 | 75.0% | |
| 8 |  Bengals | 9.1 | 7.9 | +1.7 | -0.002 | -0.185 | 40.0% | |
| 9 |  Giants | 9.1 | 7.9 | +1.3 | 0.369 | 0.221 | 100.0% | |
| 10 |  Bears | 9.1 | 7.9 | +2.1 | 0.409 | 0.181 | 100.0% | |
| 11 |  Seahawks | 9.0 | 8.0 | +1.6 | 0.066 | -0.110 | 0.0% | |
| 12 |  Vikings | 9.0 | 8.0 | +1.4 | -0.020 | -0.175 | 80.0% | |
| 13 |  Bills | 8.9 | 8.1 | +1.4 | 0.229 | 0.069 | 25.0% | |
| 14 |  Steelers | 8.7 | 8.3 | +0.2 | -0.303 | -0.321 | 50.0% | |
| 15 |  Eagles | 8.6 | 8.4 | +0.1 | 0.071 | 0.060 | 66.7% | |
| 16 |  Lions | 8.6 | 8.4 | +0.3 | 0.000 | -0.031 | 80.0% | |
| 17 |  Falcons | 8.4 | 8.6 | -0.2 | -0.321 | -0.303 | 0.0% | |
| 18 |  Saints | 8.4 | 8.6 | -0.3 | -0.031 | 0.000 | 80.0% | |
| 19 |  Commanders | 8.4 | 8.6 | -0.1 | 0.060 | 0.071 | 100.0% | |
| 20 |  Packers | 8.2 | 8.8 | -1.4 | -0.175 | -0.020 | 25.0% | |
| 21 |  Buccaneers | 8.2 | 8.8 | -1.7 | -0.185 | -0.002 | 50.0% | |
| 22 |  Texans | 8.1 | 8.9 | -1.4 | 0.069 | 0.229 | 80.0% | |
| 23 |  Cowboys | 8.0 | 9.0 | -1.3 | 0.221 | 0.369 | 100.0% | |
| 24 |  Panthers | 7.9 | 9.1 | -2.1 | 0.181 | 0.409 | 100.0% | |
| 25 |  Dolphins | 7.8 | 9.2 | -1.8 | -0.236 | -0.039 | 50.0% | |
| 26 |  Patriots | 7.8 | 9.2 | -1.6 | -0.110 | 0.066 | 50.0% | |
| 27 |  Titans | 7.6 | 9.4 | -2.6 | -0.119 | 0.168 | 100.0% | |
| 28 |  Chargers | 7.2 | 9.8 | -3.5 | -0.244 | 0.144 | 66.7% | |
| 29 |  Rams | 7.0 | 10.0 | -4.0 | -0.265 | 0.179 | 33.3% | |
| 30 |  Broncos | 6.8 | 10.2 | -4.6 | -0.344 | 0.164 | 50.0% | |
| 31 |  Browns | 6.8 | 10.2 | -4.7 | -0.184 | 0.338 | 0.0% | |
| 32 |  Colts | 6.8 | 10.2 | -5.1 | -0.241 | 0.322 | 100.0% |